EXPLOITING TEMPORAL VARIABILITY TO UNDERSTAND TREE RECRUITMENT RESPONSE TO CLIMATE CHANGE

Exploiting Temporal Variability to Understand Tree Recruitment Response to Climate Change

Predicting vegetation shifts under climate change is a challenging endeavor, given the complex interactions between biotic and abiotic variables that influence demographic rates. To determine how current trends and variation in climate change affect seedling establishment, we analyzed demographic responses to spatiotemporal variation to temperature and soil moisture in the southern Appalachian ...

Pleistocene Climate, Phylogeny, and Climate Envelope Models: An Integrative Approach to Better Understand Species' Response to Climate Change

Mean annual temperature reported by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change increases at least 1.1°C to 6.4°C over the next 90 years. In context, a change in climate of 6°C is approximately the difference between the mean annual temperature of the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) and our current warm interglacial. Species have been responding to changing climate throughout Earth's history and t...

Patterns and variability in seedling carbon assimilation: implications for tree recruitment under climate change.

Predicting future forests' structure and functioning is a critical goal for ecologists, thus information on seedling recruitment will be crucial in determining the composition and structure of future forest ecosystems. In particular, seedlings' photosynthetic response to a changing environment will be a key component determining whether particular species establish enough individuals to maintai...

How measurements provide the basis to understand climate variability

Accepted Article Climate Variability and Vulnerability to Climate Change: a Review Running Head: Climate Variability and Vulnerability Climate Variability and Vulnerability to Climate Change: a Review

The focus of the great majority of climate change impact studies is on changes in mean climate. In terms of climate model output, these changes are more robust than changes in climate variability. By concentrating on changes in climate means, the full impacts of climate change on biological and human systems are probably being seriously underestimated. Here we briefly review the possible impact...